Decoding Discontinuity

Decoding Discontinuity

The SaaS Renaissance Illusion: Why AI-Driven Growth May Mask Fundamental Business Model Threats

Raphaëlle d'Ornano's avatar
Raphaëlle d'Ornano
Jan 06, 2025
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The SaaS industry stands at its most critical inflection point since the cloud revolution. While market indicators suggest a Renaissance - with many top SaaS stocks up 40-60% in recent months, high-profile AI launches like Salesforce's Agentforce, and ServiceTitan’s successful IPO - this surface-level optimism masks a fundamental transformation that will determine which companies survive the AI era.

To guide investors through this transformation and analyze the impact of disruptive technologies on business models, our firm has developed Advanced Growth Intelligence (AGI), a framework for unlocking durable growth. Drawing from our analysis of over 600 disruptive technology companies in private markets and systematic tracking of public SaaS companies with market caps exceeding $1B between 2022-2024, AGI provides a data-driven approach to evaluating companies in this rapidly evolving landscape. Our analysis shows companies scoring in the top quartile of our AGI framework consistently achi…

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